Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Beniel: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Beniel (Murcia, 11,578 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 47.6% of the vote (2023: 52.4%) Majority 49%
PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 37.2% of the vote (2023: 38.3%) Majority 2%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.5% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 49% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 52.4% → 47.6% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. PPPP 38.3% → 37.2% 7 → 7 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.6% → 14.5% 1 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,049 valid votes including 35 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Beniel in size, in Murcia

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