Alcantarilla: PP would keep its majority
Alcantarilla (Murcia, 42,630 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 86%PP majority
- 18,796valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 14% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Alcantarilla
Alcantarilla is a municipality in the province of Murcia with 42,630 inhabitants, the 5th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 55.8% of the vote and 13 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 5. 60.9% of the 30,874 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 12 seats, a majority, which it holds in 86% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 55.8% → 54.5% 13 → 12 councillors
- VOXVox 14.9% → 22.8% 3 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 23.5% → 20.1% 5 → 4 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 0.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- 3ELocal lists 0.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
- IUVSumar, Podemos and allies 1.9% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 1.3% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 18,796 valid votes including 203 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.