Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Yunquera: PP would keep its majority

Yunquera (Málaga, 2,841 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 53.1% of the vote (2023: 51.8%) Majority 84%
PSOE-A−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 29.1% of the vote (2023: 31.6%) Majority 0%
APY+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.7% of the vote (2023: 15.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 16% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 51.8% → 53.1% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 31.6% → 29.1% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. APYLocal lists 15.5% → 16.7% 1 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,753 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Yunquera in size, in Málaga

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