Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Monda: CON ANDALUCÍA would keep its majority

Monda (Málaga, 2,844 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CON ANDALUCÍA±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 47.7% of the vote (2023: 51.5%) Majority 58%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 34.2% of the vote (2023: 32.7%) Majority 3%
PSOE-A±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.9% of the vote (2023: 13.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 39% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Monda

Monda is a municipality in the province of Málaga with 2,844 inhabitants, the 46th largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CON ANDALUCÍA came first with 51.5% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 72% of the 1,824 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps CON ANDALUCÍA on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 58% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 51.5% → 47.7% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 32.7% → 34.2% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PSOE-APSOE 13.0% → 10.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 1.8% → 6.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,313 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Monda in size, in Málaga

Every municipality in Málaga → · All of Spain →