Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Riogordo: PP would keep its majority

Riogordo (Málaga, 2,762 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 61.3% of the vote (2023: 60.8%) Majority 98%
PSOE-A±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 32.7% of the vote (2023: 35.8%) Majority 2%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 60.8% → 61.3% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 35.8% → 32.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 1.6% → 5.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 1.6% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,672 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Riogordo in size, in Málaga

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