Ardales: CON ANDALUCÍA would keep its majority
Ardales (Málaga, 2,520 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%CON ANDALUCÍA majority
- 1,516valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
8
councillors (2023: 8) · 70.5% of the vote (2023: 70.3%)
Majority over 99%
PSOE-A±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 16.5% of the vote (2023: 17.3%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 12.1% of the vote (2023: 11.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 70.3% → 70.5% 8 → 8 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 17.3% → 16.5% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 11.5% → 12.1% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,516 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.