Casarabonela: PSOE-A would keep its majority
Casarabonela (Málaga, 2,524 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 82%PSOE-A majority
- 1,504valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE-A±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 53.1% of the vote (2023: 54.3%)
Majority 82%
PP±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 41.9% of the vote (2023: 40.1%)
Majority 18%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 54.3% → 53.1% 6 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 40.1% → 41.9% 5 → 5 councillors
- POR MI PUEBLOLocal lists 3.7% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 1.1% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,504 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.