Tolox: PP would keep its majority
Tolox (Málaga, 2,309 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 1,224valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
7
councillors (2023: 7) · 65.1% of the vote (2023: 62.5%)
Majority over 99%
PSOE-A±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 25.1% of the vote (2023: 27.2%)
Majority 0%
POR MI PUEBLO±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 8.7% of the vote (2023: 7.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 62.5% → 65.1% 7 → 7 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 27.2% → 25.1% 3 → 3 councillors
- POR MI PUEBLOLocal lists 7.9% → 8.7% 1 → 1 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 1.2% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,224 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.