Guaro: PP would keep its majority
Guaro (Málaga, 2,302 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 96%PP majority
- 1,070valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
7
councillors (2023: 7) · 58.8% of the vote (2023: 58.2%)
Majority 96%
PSOE-A−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 30.3% of the vote (2023: 33.3%)
Majority under 1%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 7.9% of the vote (2023: 3.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 58.2% → 58.8% 7 → 7 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 33.3% → 30.3% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 3.3% → 7.9% 0 → 1 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 4.3% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,070 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.