Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cortes de la Frontera: PP would keep its majority

Cortes de la Frontera (Málaga, 2,986 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 57.6% of the vote (2023: 58.6%) Majority 94%
PSOE-A−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 32.0% of the vote (2023: 35.8%) Majority under 1%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 9.3% of the vote (2023: 4.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 58.6% → 57.6% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 35.8% → 32.0% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 4.5% → 9.3% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,941 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cortes de la Frontera in size, in Málaga

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