Manilva: no list would have a majority, COMPROMISO MANILVA largest
Manilva (Málaga, 17,157 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 5,682valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Manilva
Manilva is a municipality in the province of Málaga with 17,157 inhabitants, the 18th largest of its 103 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 COMPROMISO MANILVA came first with 28.4% of the vote and 5 seats; PP was second with 4. 60.8% of the 9,338 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: COMPROMISO MANILVA would be largest on 5 of 17.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- COMPROMISO MANILVASumar, Podemos and allies 28.4% → 25.7% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 23.2% → 24.2% 4 → 4 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 23.0% → 20.5% 4 → 3 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 18.8% → 17.0% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 5.3% → 11.3% 1 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,682 valid votes including 75 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.