Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Villamantilla: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Villamantilla (Madrid, 1,567 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 45.8% of the vote (2023: 46.3%) Majority 54%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.5% of the vote (2023: 23.7%) Majority 0%
CS±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.2% of the vote (2023: 19.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.1% of the vote (2023: 5.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 46% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Villamantilla

Villamantilla is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 1,567 inhabitants, the 125th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 46.3% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 76.8% of the 1,077 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 46.3% → 45.8% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 23.7% → 20.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. CSCiudadanos 19.3% → 20.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 5.1% → 10.1% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 4.5% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 827 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Villamantilla in size, in Madrid

Every municipality in Madrid → · All of Spain →