Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Navalafuente: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Navalafuente (Madrid, 1,574 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 41.5% of the vote (2023: 43.8%) Majority 43%
AIN±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.6% of the vote (2023: 17.6%) Majority 0%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.1% of the vote (2023: 10.1%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 18.2%) Majority 0%
H.N.+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.3% of the vote (2023: 8.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 57% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 43.8% → 41.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. AINLocal lists 17.6% → 17.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.1% → 16.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 18.2% → 14.6% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. H.N.Local lists 8.3% → 8.3% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 769 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Navalafuente in size, in Madrid

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