Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Santa María de la Alameda: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Santa María de la Alameda (Madrid, 1,499 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 41.9% of the vote (2023: 44.0%) Majority 46%
CIRCULO±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 22.3% of the vote (2023: 22.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.8% of the vote (2023: 5.8%) Majority 0%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.9% of the vote (2023: 9.9%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.2% of the vote (2023: 12.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 54% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 44.0% → 41.9% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. CIRCULOLocal lists 22.2% → 22.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 5.8% → 10.8% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 9.9% → 9.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PSOEPSOE 12.3% → 9.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. PARTIDO AUTÓNOMOSLocal lists 3.8% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 821 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santa María de la Alameda in size, in Madrid

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