Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Santa María de la Alameda: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Santa María de la Alameda (Madrid, 1,499 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 41.9% of the vote (2023: 44.0%) Majority 46%
CIRCULO±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 22.3% of the vote (2023: 22.2%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.8% of the vote (2023: 5.8%) Majority 0%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.9% of the vote (2023: 9.9%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.2% of the vote (2023: 12.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 54% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Santa María de la Alameda

Santa María de la Alameda is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 1,499 inhabitants, the 126th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 44% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; CIRCULO was second with 2. 71.3% of the 1,152 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 44.0% → 41.9% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. CIRCULOLocal lists 22.2% → 22.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 5.8% → 10.8% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 9.9% → 9.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PSOEPSOE 12.3% → 9.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. PARTIDO AUTÓNOMOSLocal lists 3.8% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 821 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santa María de la Alameda in size, in Madrid

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