Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Villamantilla: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Villamantilla (Madrid, 1,567 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 45.8% of the vote (2023: 46.3%) Majority 54%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.5% of the vote (2023: 23.7%) Majority 0%
CS±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.2% of the vote (2023: 19.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.1% of the vote (2023: 5.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 46% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 46.3% → 45.8% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 23.7% → 20.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. CSCiudadanos 19.3% → 20.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 5.1% → 10.1% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 4.5% → 2.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 827 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Villamantilla in size, in Madrid

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