Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Navalafuente: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Navalafuente (Madrid, 1,574 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 41.5% of the vote (2023: 43.8%) Majority 43%
AIN±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 17.6% of the vote (2023: 17.6%) Majority 0%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.1% of the vote (2023: 10.1%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 18.2%) Majority 0%
H.N.+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.3% of the vote (2023: 8.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 57% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Navalafuente

Navalafuente is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 1,574 inhabitants, the 124th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 43.8% of the vote and 4 seats; PSOE was second with 2. 69.7% of the 1,103 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 43.8% → 41.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. AINLocal lists 17.6% → 17.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 10.1% → 16.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 18.2% → 14.6% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. H.N.Local lists 8.3% → 8.3% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 769 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Navalafuente in size, in Madrid

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