Valdemanco: AVANZA VALDEMANCO would keep its majority
Valdemanco (Madrid, 1,033 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 92%AVANZA VALDEMANCO majority
- 640valid votes in 2023 (80% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 8% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Valdemanco
Valdemanco is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 1,033 inhabitants, the 134th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 AVANZA VALDEMANCO came first with 52.5% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 79.6% of the 804 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps AVANZA VALDEMANCO on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 92% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AVANZA VALDEMANCOLocal lists 52.5% → 51.9% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 29.4% → 27.1% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 9.1% → 14.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 3.9% → 3.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 4.5% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 640 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.