Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Santorcaz: PSOE would keep its majority

Santorcaz (Madrid, 941 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 64.9% of the vote (2023: 70.6%) Majority over 99%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 18.0% of the vote (2023: 11.2%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.1% of the vote (2023: 16.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 70.6% → 64.9% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. VOXVox 11.2% → 18.0% 0 → 1 councillors
  3. PPPP 16.2% → 15.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 605 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santorcaz in size, in Madrid

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