Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Valdelaguna: PP would keep its majority

Valdelaguna (Madrid, 1,016 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 49.9% of the vote (2023: 52.2%) Majority 78%
VAV−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 26.5% of the vote (2023: 26.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 11.8% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 12.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 22% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 52.2% → 49.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. VAVLocal lists 26.3% → 26.5% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 6.6% → 11.8% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 12.2% → 9.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 558 valid votes including 15 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Valdelaguna in size, in Madrid

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