España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Valdemanco: AVANZA VALDEMANCO would keep its majority

Valdemanco (Madrid, 1,033 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AVANZA VALDEMANCO±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 51.9% of the vote (2023: 52.5%) Majority 92%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 27.1% of the vote (2023: 29.4%) Majority under 1%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 9.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 8% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AVANZA VALDEMANCOLocal lists 52.5% → 51.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 29.4% → 27.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.1% → 14.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 3.9% → 3.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. PSOEPSOE 4.5% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 640 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Valdemanco in size, in Madrid

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