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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Madrid

Fresno de Torote: PP would keep its majority

Fresno de Torote (Madrid, 2,444 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 42.9% of the vote (2023: 44.3%) Majority 62%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.5% of the vote (2023: 9.4%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.3% of the vote (2023: 15.5%) Majority 0%
CS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.8% of the vote (2023: 10.6%) Majority 0%
S+±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.8% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 38% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Fresno de Torote

Fresno de Torote is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 2,444 inhabitants, the 109th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 44.3% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 68.7% of the 1,815 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 62% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 44.3% → 42.9% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. VOXVox 9.4% → 15.5% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 15.5% → 12.3% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. CSCiudadanos 10.6% → 10.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. S+Local lists 8.6% → 8.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. PORLocal lists 5.6% → 5.7% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 3.8% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,246 valid votes including 28 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Fresno de Torote in size, in Madrid

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