Venturada: I would keep its majority
Venturada (Madrid, 2,445 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 99%I majority
- 1,503valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
I−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 53.4% of the vote (2023: 53.5%)
Majority 99%
SOMOS±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 18.5% of the vote (2023: 18.5%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 15.3% of the vote (2023: 9.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ILocal lists 53.5% → 53.4% 8 → 7 councillors
- SOMOSLocal lists 18.5% → 18.5% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 9.5% → 15.3% 1 → 2 councillors
- AUPA VENTURADALocal lists 5.5% → 5.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 6.6% → 5.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 2.5% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,503 valid votes including 23 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.