Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Chapinería: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Chapinería (Madrid, 2,512 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 34.3% of the vote (2023: 36.6%) Majority 1%
IC±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 31.0% of the vote (2023: 31.1%) Majority under 1%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.2% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%
MEJORAR CHAPINERIA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.9% of the vote (2023: 9.9%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 12.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 36.6% → 34.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. ICLocal lists 31.1% → 31.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.6% → 14.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. MEJORAR CHAPINERIALocal lists 9.9% → 9.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PSOEPSOE 12.3% → 9.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,357 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Chapinería in size, in Madrid

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