Chapinería: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Chapinería (Madrid, 2,512 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 98%no list with a majority
- 1,357valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Chapinería
Chapinería is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 2,512 inhabitants, the 107th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 36.6% of the vote and 4 seats; IC was second with 4. 74.8% of the 1,814 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 11.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 36.6% → 34.3% 4 → 4 councillors
- ICLocal lists 31.1% → 31.0% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 8.6% → 14.2% 1 → 1 councillors
- MEJORAR CHAPINERIALocal lists 9.9% → 9.9% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 12.3% → 9.1% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,357 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.