Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Chapinería: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Chapinería (Madrid, 2,512 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 34.3% of the vote (2023: 36.6%) Majority 1%
IC±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 31.0% of the vote (2023: 31.1%) Majority under 1%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.2% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%
MEJORAR CHAPINERIA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.9% of the vote (2023: 9.9%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 12.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Chapinería

Chapinería is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 2,512 inhabitants, the 107th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 36.6% of the vote and 4 seats; IC was second with 4. 74.8% of the 1,814 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 36.6% → 34.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. ICLocal lists 31.1% → 31.0% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.6% → 14.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. MEJORAR CHAPINERIALocal lists 9.9% → 9.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PSOEPSOE 12.3% → 9.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,357 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Chapinería in size, in Madrid

Every municipality in Madrid → · All of Spain →