Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Tielmes: PP would keep its majority

Tielmes (Madrid, 2,783 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 60.5% of the vote (2023: 60.9%) Majority 98%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 27.1% of the vote (2023: 30.5%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 11.5% of the vote (2023: 6.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 60.9% → 60.5% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 30.5% → 27.1% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 6.1% → 11.5% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 1.5% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,245 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Tielmes in size, in Madrid

Every municipality in Madrid → · All of Spain →