Tielmes: PP would keep its majority
Tielmes (Madrid, 2,783 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 98%PP majority
- 1,245valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Tielmes
Tielmes is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 2,783 inhabitants, the 103rd largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 60.9% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 66.9% of the 1,861 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 98% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 60.9% → 60.5% 7 → 7 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 30.5% → 27.1% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 6.1% → 11.5% 0 → 1 councillors
- PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 1.5% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,245 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.