Venturada: I would keep its majority
Venturada (Madrid, 2,445 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 99%I majority
- 1,503valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Venturada
Venturada is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 2,445 inhabitants, the 108th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 I came first with 53.5% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; SOMOS was second with 2. 77.7% of the 1,935 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps I on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ILocal lists 53.5% → 53.4% 8 → 7 councillors
- SOMOSLocal lists 18.5% → 18.5% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 9.5% → 15.3% 1 → 2 councillors
- AUPA VENTURADALocal lists 5.5% → 5.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- PPPP 6.6% → 5.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 2.5% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,503 valid votes including 23 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.