Carabaña: PP would keep its majority
Carabaña (Madrid, 2,210 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 53%PP majority
- 1,051valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 47.2% of the vote (2023: 48.4%)
Majority 53%
PSOE−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 38.6% of the vote (2023: 43.0%)
Majority 5%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 7.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 43% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 48.4% → 47.2% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 43.0% → 38.6% 5 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 7.7% → 13.4% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,051 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.