Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Buitrago del Lozoya: PP would keep its majority

Buitrago del Lozoya (Madrid, 1,948 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 44.1% of the vote (2023: 43.8%) Majority 61%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 39.4% of the vote (2023: 42.5%) Majority 24%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 15% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Buitrago del Lozoya

Buitrago del Lozoya is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 1,948 inhabitants, the 115th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 43.8% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 69.4% of the 1,276 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 61% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 43.8% → 44.1% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 42.5% → 39.4% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 3.1% → 7.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. IPBLocal lists 6.1% → 6.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 3.5% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 885 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Buitrago del Lozoya in size, in Madrid

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