Aranjuez: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Aranjuez (Madrid, 59,762 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 25councillors, 13 for a majority
- 99%no list with a majority
- 27,346valid votes in 2023 (64% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Aranjuez
Aranjuez is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 59,762 inhabitants, the 20th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 33.8% of the vote and 9 seats; PSOE was second with 7. 64.2% of the 42,594 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 9 of 25.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 33.8% → 33.3% 9 → 9 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 26.9% → 23.8% 7 → 7 councillors
- VOXVox 13.9% → 21.9% 4 → 6 councillors
- ACIPALocal lists 7.6% → 8.0% 2 → 2 councillors
- IN-PAR-IU-PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 9.2% → 6.6% 2 → 1 councillors
- MM-VQ ARANJUEZSumar, Podemos and allies 6.0% → 3.7% 1 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 27,346 valid votes including 456 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.