Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Collado Villalba: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Collado Villalba (Madrid, 64,263 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 32.1% of the vote (2023: 32.1%) Majority 2%
PSOE−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 21.7% of the vote (2023: 24.5%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
6 councillors (2023: 4) · 21.0% of the vote (2023: 13.0%) Majority 0%
MCV+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 12.9% of the vote (2023: 12.1%) Majority 0%
MM-VQ COLLADO VILLALBA−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.9% of the vote (2023: 6.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 32.1% → 32.1% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 24.5% → 21.7% 7 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 13.0% → 21.0% 4 → 6 councillors
  4. MCVLocal lists 12.1% → 12.9% 3 → 4 councillors
  5. MM-VQ COLLADO VILLALBASumar, Podemos and allies 6.2% → 3.9% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 1.8% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. VCVLocal lists 1.7% → 1.8% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. IZQUIERDA UNIDA - CAMBIEMOS VILLALBASumar, Podemos and allies 3.2% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 3.2% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. PACMALocal lists 1.0% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 29,174 valid votes including 337 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Collado Villalba in size, in Madrid

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