Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Colmenar Viejo: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Colmenar Viejo (Madrid, 53,389 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
11 councillors (2023: 12) · 39.2% of the vote (2023: 39.3%) Majority 27%
VOX+3
6 councillors (2023: 3) · 20.1% of the vote (2023: 12.4%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 16.0% of the vote (2023: 18.8%) Majority 0%
GANEMOS COLMENAR - IU - PODEMOS - AV−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 9.2% of the vote (2023: 12.0%) Majority 0%
MM-VQ COLMENAR VIEJO−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 5.3% of the vote (2023: 7.8%) Majority 0%
CVXD+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 5.2% of the vote (2023: 4.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 73% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 39.3% → 39.2% 12 → 11 councillors
  2. VOXVox 12.4% → 20.1% 3 → 6 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 18.8% → 16.0% 5 → 4 councillors
  4. GANEMOS COLMENAR - IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 12.0% → 9.2% 3 → 2 councillors
  5. MM-VQ COLMENAR VIEJOSumar, Podemos and allies 7.8% → 5.3% 2 → 1 councillors
  6. CVXDLocal lists 4.9% → 5.2% 0 → 1 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 1.9% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. TELIGLocal lists 1.4% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 26,292 valid votes including 390 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Colmenar Viejo in size, in Madrid

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