Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Tres Cantos: PP would keep its majority

Tres Cantos (Madrid, 50,187 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
15 councillors (2023: 16) · 55.5% of the vote (2023: 56.1%) Majority 96%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 15.6% of the vote (2023: 18.7%) Majority 0%
POR 3C±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 13.2% of the vote (2023: 12.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.5% of the vote (2023: 5.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 4% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 56.1% → 55.5% 16 → 15 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 18.7% → 15.6% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. POR 3CLocal lists 12.7% → 13.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 5.4% → 10.5% 1 → 3 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 2.4% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 3.2% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 29,424 valid votes including 459 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Tres Cantos in size, in Madrid

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