Tres Cantos: PP would keep its majority
Tres Cantos (Madrid, 50,187 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 25councillors, 13 for a majority
- 96%PP majority
- 29,424valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 4% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Tres Cantos
Tres Cantos is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 50,187 inhabitants, the 24th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 56.1% of the vote and 16 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 5. 76.6% of the 38,430 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 15 seats, a majority, which it holds in 96% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 56.1% → 55.5% 16 → 15 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 18.7% → 15.6% 5 → 4 councillors
- POR 3CLocal lists 12.7% → 13.2% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 5.4% → 10.5% 1 → 3 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.4% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOS-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 3.2% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 29,424 valid votes including 459 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.