Aldea del Fresno: no list would have a majority, IPA largest
Aldea del Fresno (Madrid, 3,227 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 99%no list with a majority
- 1,527valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Aldea del Fresno
Aldea del Fresno is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 3,227 inhabitants, the 94th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 IPA came first with 33.4% of the vote and 4 seats; PSOE was second with 3. 64.7% of the 2,360 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: IPA would be largest on 4 of 11.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- IPALocal lists 33.4% → 33.4% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 16.9% → 24.7% 2 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 25.3% → 21.2% 3 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 18.4% → 16.9% 2 → 2 councillors
- IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 3.9% → 1.7% 0 → 0 councillors
- CONTIGOLocal lists 0.9% → 0.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,527 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.