Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Villaconejos: PP would keep its majority

Villaconejos (Madrid, 3,456 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 48.1% of the vote (2023: 49.2%) Majority 66%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 21.0% of the vote (2023: 13.5%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.6% of the vote (2023: 23.0%) Majority 0%
IU±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.4% of the vote (2023: 12.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 34% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 49.2% → 48.1% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. VOXVox 13.5% → 21.0% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 23.0% → 19.6% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. IUSumar, Podemos and allies 12.5% → 9.4% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,766 valid votes including 32 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Villaconejos in size, in Madrid

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