Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Navacerrada: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Navacerrada (Madrid, 3,218 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 37.4% of the vote (2023: 38.6%) Majority 15%
N - GLOBAL±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.5% of the vote (2023: 16.1%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.8% of the vote (2023: 8.8%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.5% of the vote (2023: 17.7%) Majority 0%
PDN±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.2% of the vote (2023: 11.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 85% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 38.6% → 37.4% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. N - GLOBALLocal lists 16.1% → 16.5% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.8% → 14.8% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 17.7% → 14.5% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. PDNLocal lists 11.9% → 12.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 5.8% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,813 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Navacerrada in size, in Madrid

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