Navacerrada: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Navacerrada (Madrid, 3,218 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 85%no list with a majority
- 1,813valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 85% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Navacerrada
Navacerrada is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 3,218 inhabitants, the 95th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 38.6% of the vote and 5 seats; PSOE was second with 2. 76% of the 2,384 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 11.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 38.6% → 37.4% 5 → 5 councillors
- N - GLOBALLocal lists 16.1% → 16.5% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 8.8% → 14.8% 1 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 17.7% → 14.5% 2 → 1 councillors
- PDNLocal lists 11.9% → 12.2% 1 → 1 councillors
- PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 5.8% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,813 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.