España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Cadalso de los Vidrios: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Cadalso de los Vidrios (Madrid, 3,193 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 42.3% of the vote (2023: 46.4%) Majority 19%
PP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 38.1% of the vote (2023: 38.9%) Majority 6%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.9% of the vote (2023: 11.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 75% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 46.4% → 42.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 38.9% → 38.1% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.0% → 17.9% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,767 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cadalso de los Vidrios in size, in Madrid

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