España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Cadalso de los Vidrios: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Cadalso de los Vidrios (Madrid, 3,193 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 42.3% of the vote (2023: 46.4%) Majority 19%
PP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 38.1% of the vote (2023: 38.9%) Majority 6%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.9% of the vote (2023: 11.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 75% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Cadalso de los Vidrios

Cadalso de los Vidrios is a municipality in the province of Madrid with 3,193 inhabitants, the 96th largest of its 179 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 46.4% of the vote and 5 seats; PP was second with 5. 74.6% of the 2,369 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 46.4% → 42.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 38.9% → 38.1% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.0% → 17.9% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. IU - PODEMOS - AVSumar, Podemos and allies 2.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,767 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cadalso de los Vidrios in size, in Madrid

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