Alpicat: CM would keep its majority
Alpicat (Lleida, 6,333 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 76%CM majority
- 2,538valid votes in 2023 (53% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 24% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Alpicat
Alpicat is a municipality in the province of Lleida with 6,333 inhabitants, the 11th largest of its 231 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 52.4% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; ERC - AM was second with 3. 53.2% of the 4,770 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 76% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 52.4% → 46.7% 8 → 7 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 19.4% → 24.5% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 4.5% → 9.1% 0 → 1 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 10.8% → 7.9% 1 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 7.8% → 6.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.6% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,538 valid votes including 65 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.