Alpicat: CM would keep its majority
Alpicat (Lleida, 6,333 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 76%CM majority
- 2,538valid votes in 2023 (53% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CM−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 46.7% of the vote (2023: 52.4%)
Majority 76%
ERC - AM±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 24.5% of the vote (2023: 19.4%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 4.5%)
Majority 0%
PSC-CP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 7.9% of the vote (2023: 10.8%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.6% of the vote (2023: 7.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 24% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 52.4% → 46.7% 8 → 7 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 19.4% → 24.5% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 4.5% → 9.1% 0 → 1 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 10.8% → 7.9% 1 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 7.8% → 6.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.6% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,538 valid votes including 65 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.