Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Tremp: CXT-CP would keep its majority

Tremp (Lleida, 5,847 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CXT-CP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 45.1% of the vote (2023: 49.5%) Majority 60%
ERC / ESQUERRA+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.8% of the vote (2023: 14.6%) Majority 0%
JUNTS PER TREMP - COMPROMÍS MUNICIPAL−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.0% of the vote (2023: 19.9%) Majority 0%
ARA PL±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.9% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 40% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CXT-CPPSOE 49.5% → 45.1% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. ERC / ESQUERRAERC 14.6% → 18.8% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. JUNTS PER TREMP - COMPROMÍS MUNICIPALJunts 19.9% → 18.0% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. ARA PLLocal lists 8.6% → 8.9% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. VOXVox 1.5% → 5.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. PARTIDO POPULAR - PARTIT POPULARPP 3.2% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. SUMEM PER TREMP - CONFLUÈNCIASumar, Podemos and allies 1.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,533 valid votes including 46 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Tremp in size, in Lleida

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