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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · León

Sahagún: PP would keep its majority

Sahagún (León, 2,434 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 44.6% of the vote (2023: 46.3%) Majority 59%
PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.7% of the vote (2023: 23.4%) Majority 0%
U.P.L.±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.2% of the vote (2023: 17.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 11.0% of the vote (2023: 6.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 41% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Sahagún

Sahagún is a municipality in the province of León with 2,434 inhabitants, the 24th largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 46.3% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 66.3% of the 2,016 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 59% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 46.3% → 44.6% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 23.4% → 19.7% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. U.P.L.Local lists 17.9% → 18.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 6.0% → 11.0% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. ESPAÑA VACIADALocal lists 5.4% → 5.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,337 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sahagún in size, in León

Every municipality in León → · All of Spain →