Valdefresno: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest
Valdefresno (León, 2,280 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 1,398valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Valdefresno
Valdefresno is a municipality in the province of León with 2,280 inhabitants, the 26th largest of its 211 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 27.2% of the vote and 3 seats; U.P.L. was second with 3. 73% of the 1,914 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 3 of 11.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 27.2% → 23.8% 3 → 3 councillors
- U.P.L.Local lists 22.9% → 23.8% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 20.7% → 19.8% 3 → 2 councillors
- ESPAÑA VACIADALocal lists 17.3% → 18.0% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 5.1% → 10.1% 0 → 1 councillors
- IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 5.4% → 3.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,398 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.