Cuadros: A.I.C. would keep its majority
Cuadros (León, 2,049 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- over 99%A.I.C. majority
- 1,386valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
A.I.C.+1
8
councillors (2023: 7) · 58.6% of the vote (2023: 57.9%)
Majority over 99%
UPL±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 12.9% of the vote (2023: 12.7%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 11.6% of the vote (2023: 14.9%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 11.2% of the vote (2023: 12.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- A.I.C.Local lists 57.9% → 58.6% 7 → 8 councillors
- UPLLocal lists 12.7% → 12.9% 1 → 1 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 14.9% → 11.6% 2 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 12.4% → 11.2% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 1.0% → 4.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,386 valid votes including 16 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.