Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Vega de Espinareda: PSOE would keep its majority

Vega de Espinareda (León, 2,018 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 58.1% of the vote (2023: 59.6%) Majority 95%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 37.5% of the vote (2023: 36.3%) Majority 5%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 59.6% → 58.1% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 36.3% → 37.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VEGA DE ESPINAREDA EXISTELocal lists 3.2% → 3.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,314 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Vega de Espinareda in size, in León

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