Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Boñar: PSOE would win a majority

Boñar (León, 1,823 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 47.2% of the vote (2023: 47.7%) Majority 55%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 43.7% of the vote (2023: 41.1%) Majority 35%
IU-PODEMOS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.1% of the vote (2023: 10.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 10% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 47.7% → 47.2% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 41.1% → 43.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. IU-PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 10.3% → 8.1% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,157 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Boñar in size, in León

Every municipality in León → · All of Spain →