Toral de los Vados: TYP would keep its majority
Toral de los Vados (León, 1,792 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 78%TYP majority
- 1,280valid votes in 2023 (81% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
TYP±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 49.3% of the vote (2023: 46.7%)
Majority 78%
PSOE±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 16.7% of the vote (2023: 19.5%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 16.6% of the vote (2023: 17.3%)
Majority 0%
C. BIERZO±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 16.5% of the vote (2023: 15.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 22% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- TYPLocal lists 46.7% → 49.3% 5 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 19.5% → 16.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 17.3% → 16.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- C. BIERZOLocal lists 15.6% → 16.5% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,280 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.